24-25

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Feb 10, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Human-triggered avalanches are likely on wind-loaded slopes today. Recent snow was drifted into thicker and stiffer slabs which have been easy to trigger, and will remain reactive for at least another day.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Yesterday we witnessed and received reports of natural and rider triggered </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wind slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> breaking 1-2 feet deep and 20-200 feet wide (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity"><span><span><span><span… activity list</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). Notable avalanches among yesterday’s activity were a couple snowmobiler triggered slides in the southern Madison Range (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34102"><span><span><span><span><span><…;), and natural and snowboarder triggered avalanches near Cooke City (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34096"><span><span><span><span><span><…;, </span></span></strong></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q3OxZUjHYfs"><span><span><span><span><s…;

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Today similar slides can be triggered and be large enough to bury or injure a person. Even smaller slides can easily knock you off your feet and be dangerous in terrain with trees, cliffs or rocks. Avoid slopes steeper than 30 degrees that have recent wind-loading. Seek out slopes sheltered from wind, and consider smaller slopes with clean runouts that minimize the potential size and consequences of a slide.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Persistent slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> are possible with weak, sugary layers of facets and surface hoar buried 1-3 feet deep below the last week’s snow. We have not seen much, if any, recent activity on these layers, and they have shown mixed results in stability tests (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34085"><span><span><span><span><span><…’s observation from Lionhead</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34067"><span><span><span><span><span><… observation from Cooke</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). A couple larger slides near Cooke City a week ago, on </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/25/avalanche-north-crown-butte"><spa… Butte</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span> and </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/25/avalanche-east-henderson"><span><… Mtn.</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, might have broken on persistent weak layers. These show types of terrain where a larger persistent slab avalanche might be possible and are worth avoiding for now: big slopes that are heavily wind-loaded below prominent ridgelines. Other areas where these weak layers might have been more well preserved are </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34043"><span><span><span><span><span><…. Ellis</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34080"><span><span><span><span><span><… Rind</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span> and </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33944"><span><span><span><span><span><… Fork</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Carefully evaluate the snowpack for recent wind-loading and buried weak layers before getting onto steeper slopes. Throughout the forecast area the avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on wind-loaded slopes and MODERATE otherwise.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Special note: At lower elevations around the valleys snow depths are deep, particularly on steep slopes that typically don’t hold much snow and avalanche potential. Dave noted this abundance of snow in Sourdough canyon and made a </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LYqruI9gUp0"><span><span><span><span><s…; and </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34062"><span><span><span><span><span><…; with avalanche concerns and travel advice to keep in mind for these areas.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar

Two Rider triggered slides in Gravelly Range

Out of Advisory Area
Code
SS-AM-R2-D2
Latitude
44.85020
Longitude
-111.76700
Notes

From FB message: "Two snowmobiler triggered avalanches in Gravelly Range. Riders did not have beacons or rescue equipment. Riders made it out safe luckily."

Number of slides
2
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Snowmobile
R size
2
D size
2
Problem Type
Wind Slab
Slab Thickness
18.0 inches
Vertical Fall
200ft
Slab Width
200.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

From FB message: "Two snowmobiler triggered avalanches in Gravelly Range. Riders did not have beacons or rescue equipment. Riders made it out safe luckily."

Out of Advisory Area, 2025-02-10

Small rider triggered Avalanche Lionhead

LIONHEAD AREA
Lionhead Range
Code
SS-AM-R1-D1
Aspect
S
Latitude
44.72920
Longitude
-111.32300
Notes

We saw this today after it happened. Looked like a snowmobile triggered it. I believe it is mostly south facing. Thanks. 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Snowmobile
R size
1
D size
1
Slab Thickness
12.0 inches
Vertical Fall
75ft
Slab Width
20.00ft
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Natural wind slab avalanche near Cooke

Wolverine Peak
Cooke City
Code
HS-N-R1-D1.5-S
Elevation
9900
Aspect
E
Latitude
45.05300
Longitude
-110.01000
Notes

On Feb 9 We saw a fresh natural wind slab near Wolverine, R1-D1.5

 

 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Hard slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1.5
Bed Surface
S - Avalanche released within new snow
Problem Type
Wind Slab
Slab Thickness
12.0 inches
Vertical Fall
200ft
Slab Width
50.00ft
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Snowboarder triggered wind slabs (2) near Cooke

Scotch Bonnet
Cooke City
Code
SS-AS-R1-D2-S
Elevation
9500
Aspect
SE
Latitude
45.07330
Longitude
-109.94800
Notes

We watched two snowboarders trigger separate wind slabs, while riding one at a time in avalanche terrain, on the south side of Scotch Bonnet (photos attached). They rode away safely. These looked 12" deep and 20' wide, and entrained snow to run a good distance, R1-D2.

 

Number of slides
2
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Skier
R size
1
D size
2
Bed Surface
S - Avalanche released within new snow
Problem Type
Wind Slab
Slab Thickness
12.0 inches
Vertical Fall
500ft
Slab Width
20.00ft
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

On Feb 9 we watched two snowboarders trigger separate wind slabs, while riding one at a time in avalanche terrain, on the south side of Scotch Bonnet. Photo: J. Mancey

 

Cooke City, 2025-02-10